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2024-12-13 11:56:37 <var dropzone="jLhW"> <u id="I1Lt"> <strong dir="Z4ku"></strong> </u> </var>

After the publication of CPI in the United States, the probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December has almost been fully priced. According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 2.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 97.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 1.7%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 71.2%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 27.1%.Before the release of CPI in the United States, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December was 86.1%. According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability of the Fed keeping the current interest rate unchanged by December was 13.9%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points was 86.1%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 10.6%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 69.1%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 20.2%.Zamrazilova, Deputy Governor of Czech Central Bank: There is no reason to change my view on inflation risk in November, and I still think that interest rate cuts should be suspended.


Market News: Apple is cooperating with Broadcom around artificial intelligence (AI) chips. Apple chips may be ready for production in 2026.Layoff nearly 40%? Extremely more rumors: false statements, extremely more recently, some negative information has been sent out. Some netizens posted on social media that the more layoffs are started, the scale is close to 40%. In this regard, the reporter asked the extreme Vietnamese side for verification, and the other party said that the above rumors were false statements. In addition, the Automobile Legal Department of Extreme Vietnam also issued a document through Weibo, saying that some people spread false statements about the management and operation of Extreme Vietnam on the Internet, and the rumors have had a bad influence on the normal operation of the company. At present, the company is operating as usual, and relevant information is released through official channels. As for the rumors spread on the Internet, the company has retained evidence, reflected and reported them to the competent authorities, and has taken necessary legal measures to further investigate the legal responsibility of the rumors. Please don't believe in rumors, don't spread rumors. (per meridian)German Chancellor Angela Scholz: Calling on legislators to work together for the benefit of the people.


Broadcom US stocks rose 3.6% before the market, while Apple US stocks rose 0.3% before the market. In the news, Apple is cooperating with Broadcom around artificial intelligence (AI) chips.UN Secretary-General Guterres: We have the responsibility to make every effort to support different Syrian leaders and ensure that they come together.In November, the CPI of the United States hit its biggest increase in seven months, but it is unlikely to prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates next week. The consumer price index of the United States recorded its biggest increase in seven months in November, but it is unlikely to prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates for the third time next week in the context of the cooling job market. Data show that CPI rose by 0.3% last month, the biggest increase since April, after the index rose by 0.2% for four consecutive months. The year-on-year growth rate of CPI rose by 2.7% after rising by 2.6% in October. Compared with the peak of 9.1% in June 2022, the year-on-year growth rate of inflation has slowed down significantly. Nevertheless, in recent months, the process of reducing the inflation rate to the Fed's 2% target has actually stalled. However, the Fed is now more concerned about the labor market. Although employment growth accelerated in November after being severely disturbed by strikes and hurricanes in October, the unemployment rate accelerated to 4.2% after staying at 4.1% for two consecutive months.

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